The clash between the New Zealand Breakers and the Cairns Taipans could be one of the most anticipated NBL games . It’s all happening this Friday night, 3rd November 2023. Both teams have been performing well, but who has the edge according to the bookies? Let’s analyse the strengths and weaknesses of both teams, the recent form, and their head-to-head record. I’ll also give you a prediction for the winner and the final score.
TLDR: The NZ Breakers are the favourites to win against the Cairns Taipans, with a 60% chance of victory according to the bookies. The expected final score is 95-88 for the Breakers.
Full Court Press
The Breakers are coming off a convincing win over the Tasmania JackJumpers in their season opener, while the Taipans suffered a narrow loss to the Sydney Kings in a tight contest.
The major bookies are favouring the Breakers to continue their momentum and claim another victory at home, but the Taipans are not to be underestimated as they have a talented roster and a history of upsetting the Breakers in previous encounters. This game will be a key battle for both teams to establish themselves as contenders in the NBL.
The Breakers have a stronger offence and a more balanced roster, while the Taipans rely too much on their star player Scott Machado.
Why I think New Zealand could win
The New Zealand Breakers are one of the most successful teams in the NBL, having won four championships in the past decade. They feature a strong roster of experienced players, such as Corey Webster, Finn Delany and Tom Abercrombie. These guys can score from anywhere on the court. New Zealand have the home-court advantage, playing at the Spark Arena in Auckland, where there’s a huge loyal fan base.
- They have a better record than Cairns this season, winning 12 games and losing 8, while Cairns has only won 7 and lost 13.
- They have a balanced offence, averaging 88.6 points per game, with five players scoring in double figures. They also rank second in the league in three-point shooting, making 38.7% of their attempts.
- They have a solid defence, holding their opponents to 84.4 points per game, the third-lowest in the NBL. They also force 14.6 turnovers per game, the most in the league.
- They have more motivation to win, as they are fighting for a playoff spot, while Cairns is already out of contention.
New Zealand has a good chance of beating Cairns on Friday night, based on their performance, statistics and situation. They have proven themselves to be a formidable team in the NBL, and I expect them to show their quality and determination in this game.
Who to watch: Finn Delany
Position: Forward
Jersey #: 70
Delany is a versatile and explosive player who can dominate both ends of the floor. He’s averaging 16.4 points and 7.2 rebounds per game this season, ranking second on the Breakers in both categories. He’s also shooting 38.9 percent from three-point range, making him a reliable outside threat. Delany is captain and leader, and will be eager to lead his team to victory against the Taipans.
Why I think Cairns could win
The Cairns Taipans aren’t the favourites to win the NBL game this Friday night. They do have a bunch of factors in their favour that could give them an edge and bring the heat to New Zealand.
- The Taipans have a balanced scoring attack. They’ve got five players averaging double digits in points per game and makes them hard to defend. They’re good at spreading the floor and exploiting mismatches.
- They have a strong rebounding advantage and rank second in in rebounds per game. The Breakers rank last. This means they can limit the Breakers’ second-chance opportunities and create more possessions for themselves.
- The Taipans have a motivated coach, featuring Aaron Fearne is in his final season with the team. He has been with the Taipans for 10 years and he’ll want to end his tenure on a high note. His players will be ready to compete and fight for every possession.
The Taipans definitely don’t have the star power or the experience of New Zealand, but they have the heart and the hustle to challenge them. I think they could surprise everyone and bring the challenge this Friday night.
Who to watch: Tahjere McCall
Position: Guard
Jersey #: 22
McCall is a versatile guard who plays the full court. He can score, rebound, assist and defend. He joined the Taipans in 2022 and is averaging 11.4 points, 5.6 rebounds, 4.1 assists and 1.8 steals per game in his first season. He was also named to the All-NBL Second Team and the All-Defensive Team. McCall is a leader on and off the court, and he will be crucial for the Taipans’ chances of winning against the Breakers.
What do the bookies say?
Both teams are struggling in this NBL24 season. They’ve two wins each from their first six games. The bookies are favouring the home team, who have had a tough schedule due to their NBAxNBL commitments, but have shown some signs of improvement in recent games. The Taipans, on the other hand, have lost four in a row and are lacking confidence and consistency.
| Bookmaker |
NZ Breakers |
Cairns Taipans |
| Bet365 |
1.50 |
2.60 |
| Ladbrokes |
1.55 |
2.45 |
| Betfair |
1.52 |
2.54 |
| Sportsbet |
1.53 |
2.50 |
The odds are fairly similar across the board, but the Breakers are the clear favourites. The average odds for the Breakers are 1.53, while the average odds for the Taipans are 2.52.
The Bottom Line
Both teams have been struggling to find form in this NBL24 season, but they’re up against each other in a crucial Round 6 game. The Breakers have the home advantage and a slightly better record, but the Taipans have shown some signs of improvement in their last two games.
The bookies are favouring the Breakers, but not by much. This is a hard game to predict, but we think the Breakers have a slight edge over the Taipans, based on their experience and depth.
However, it’s not a sure bet and anything can happen on the court.
Disclaimer: Online sports betting is risky and should only be done responsibly and legally. We do not endorse or guarantee any outcome or result of any bet or wager. Bet within your limits and know when to stop.
The Golden Eagle is close to one of the most prestigious races in Australian horse racing featuring a whopping prize pool of over $7.5 million. It is open to four-year-old horses and is run over 1500 metres at Rosehill Gardens in Sydney.
The 2023 edition of the race will take place on Saturday, October 28, and will feature some of the best local and international talent. I’ve been studying the field closely and analysing what factors to consider before placing your bets.
TLDR: The favourite is ”Amelia’s Jewel”, who won the Golden Rose last year. The horse to watch is outside favourite “Hawaii Five Oh”, who has impressive form and speed ratings.
The favourite: Amelia’s Jewel
Gate #: TBC
Amelia’s Jewel is coming in hot for the Golden Eagle this year.
- She has won four out of her last five races, including the Group 1 Epsom Handicap.
- She has a proven record over the 1500m distance, having beaten some of the best horses in the country.
- She has a favourable barrier draw, which will allow her to settle in a good position and avoid traffic.
- She has a strong jockey-trainer combination, with James McDonald and Chris Waller, who have won many big races together.
Amelia’s Jewel is a formidable contender for the 2023 Golden Eagle, and she will hopefully reward her loyal fans with another brilliant performance. If you’re looking for a solid bet, you can’t go wrong with Amelia’s Jewel.
Why I think Hawaii Five Oh could get up
I’m also putting a few bucks on Hawaii Five Oh, a four-year-old gelding with a lot of potential. Here are some of the reasons why I think he will get up:
- He has won four of his last five starts, including a Group 2 race over 1400m at Randwick.
- He has a good barrier draw, starting from gate 6, which gives him a chance to settle in a favourable position.
- He has a proven jockey, Hugh Bowman, who has ridden him in his last three wins and knows how to get the best out of him.
- He has shown that he can handle different track conditions, winning on both good and soft ground.
I believe that Hawaii Five Oh has what it takes to win the Golden Eagle, or at least finish in the top three. He is currently paying $9.00 at Bet365, which I think is great value for a horse of his calibre.
Why I think Legarto is an outside chance
One of the horses that I think has a good chance of upsetting the favourites in the 2023 Golden Eagle is Legarto. Here are some reasons why:
- Legarto has won four of his last five races, including a Group 2 victory over 1400m at Randwick.
- Legarto has a proven record at Rosehill, where he finished second in the 2022 Golden Rose behind the champion Rothfire.
- Legarto has a favourable barrier draw of 6, which will allow him to settle in a good position and avoid traffic.
- Legarto is trained by Chris Waller, who has won the Golden Eagle twice before with Kolding and Funstar.
I think Legarto is a great value bet at $21 and I will be backing him each way in the 2023 Golden Eagle.
Who do the major betting sites have as favourite?
Let’s see what the bookies are saying…
| Horse |
TAB |
Ladbrokes |
Bet365 |
Sportsbet |
| Legarto |
$2.25 |
$2.50 |
$2.40 |
$2.50 |
| Hawaii Five Oh |
$2.50 |
$2.75 |
$2.60 |
$2.75 |
| Amelia’s Jewel |
$3.50 |
$3.75 |
$3.60 |
$3.75 |
Legarto is the clear favourite across all four sites, followed by Hawaii Five Oh and Amelia’s Jewel. Legarto is a proven performer at this distance, having won the Group 1 Caulfield Guineas last year. Hawaii Five Oh is a rising star who impressed in the Group 2 Hobartville Stakes earlier this year. Amelia’s Jewel is a classy mare who won the Group 1 Surround Stakes in February.
I still reckon Amelia’s Jewel will get up, but anything can happen on the day and there are plenty of other horses on the field. If you’re looking for something different, you might want to consider Kovalica, who is paying around $7 on all four sites.
If you’re feeling adventurous, you could perhaps consider a trifecta, with the three horses above. You never know what could happen!
The Bottom Line
I have my tips and the bookies have their clear favourites, but the race is unpredictable and anything can happen. My picks have shown impressive form and speed in their previous races. But these horses are not guaranteed winners, and you should always bet responsibly.
Whatever you decide to do, make sure you gamble responsibly and have fun watching the race itself. The Golden Eagle is sure to be a thrilling spectacle that will keep you on the edge of your seat.
Disclaimer: Online sports betting is a risky activity that can lead to addiction and financial losses, so please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.
The clash between Brisbane Roar and Sydney FC on Saturday is a highly anticipated match. We’ve got two of the best in form teams who are both looking to bounce back from disappointing starts in their previous games this year. Both are looking to secure a spot in the coveted “top six.”
TLDR: Sydney FC are close favourites to win according to the bookies, but Brisbane Roar have a strong chance to pull off an upset with the home town advantage and attacking flair.
Why I think Sydney will win
Sydney FC are the reigning champion of the A-League and boast a strong record against Brisbane Roar. Having won four of their last five head-to-heads, they feature a more balanced and experienced squad. There’s players like Adam Le Fondre, Milos Ninkovic and Rhyan Grant leading the way.
- Sydney has a far better attack than Brisbane. They have scored 28 goals in 14 games, while Brisbane has only 16 goals in 13 games. Sydney also has more options upfront, with Le Fondre, Kosta Barbarouses, Trent Buhagiar and Bobo all capable of finding the net.
- Sydney has a stronger defence than Brisbane. They have only let in 11 goals in 14 games, while Brisbane has let in a whopping 18 goals in 13 games. Sydney also features a more solid backline, with Grant, Alex Wilkinson, Ben Warland and Joel King forming a reliable unit.
- Sydney is brimming with more confidence and momentum at the moment than Brisbane. They’re on a six-game unbeaten run, while Brisbane has lost three of their last four games. Sydney also has a psychological edge over Brisbane, having beaten them 3-0 in their last encounter.
Sydney are in with a good chance to win the game with their superior attack, defence and form over Brisbane. Among that, they’re the favourites to lift the trophy again and I don’t see Brisbane stopping them any time soon.
Who to watch: Bobô
Position: Forward
Jersey #: 9
The Brazilian veteran is back for his third stint with Sydney FC, and he has already shown his quality with a brace against Macarthur FC. He’s the all-time leading scorer for the Sky Blues, with 52 goals in 71 games, and he has a lethal partnership with Adam Le Fondre up front in the attack. He is a powerful and composed finisher, who also creates chances for his teammates with his vision and passing. He will keep the Brisbane Roar defence busy on Saturday.
Why I think Brisbane will get up.
Sydney FC are going to have work hard to avoid another defeat and keep their hopes of defending their title premiership alive.
- Sydney FC has been dogged by injuries and suspensions this season, while Brisbane has a full squad to choose from.
- Brisbane has a better head-to-head record against Sydney FC, winning four of their last six meetings.
- Brisbane has been in ok form lately. They’ve score 12 goals in their last four games, while Sydney FC has only managed four goals in the same period.
- Brisbane has a more balanced and versatile team, with players who can play in different positions and adapt to different situations.
- Brisbane has a stronger motivation to win, as they are chasing a top-six spot and a chance to play in the Asian Champions League.
Brisbane are in with a good chance to get up and beat Sydney FC. They have more quality, consistency and hunger than their rivals, and they will prove it on the pitch.
Who to watch: Riku Danzaki
Position: Forward
Jersey #: 9
The Japanese youngster is one of the most exciting prospects in the A-League this season. He joined Brisbane Roar from Consadole Sapporo and has already scored 10 goals in 18 appearances. He has a great combination of pace, skill and finishing ability, and he can play on either wing or as a central striker. He is a constant threat to the opposition defence with his movement and creativity. Watch out for his flair and confidence on the ball.
What do the bookies say?
Both teams have shown good form and consistency in the previous rounds and this is expected to be a close contest. The bookies seem to favour Sydney FC slightly, as they have a better defensive record and more experience in big games. Let’s see the odds
| Source |
Brisbane Roar |
Draw |
Sydney FC |
| Sportsbet |
2.60 |
3.40 |
2.50 |
| Ladbrokes |
2.62 |
3.50 |
2.30 |
| Bet365 |
2.70 |
3.40 |
2.40 |
| Betfair |
2.80 |
3.60 |
2.50 |
As you can see, the odds are quite similar across the board, with only slight variations depending on the source. This indicates that the game is hard to predict and could go either way. However, based on the recent performances and head-to-head records, the odds show that Sydney FC has a slight edge over Brisbane Roar and will win by a narrow margin.
The Bottom Line
I’m expecting a close and exciting match and I reckon both are in with strong chances of winning. The bookies are favouring Sydney FC slightly, with odds hovering around 2.50, while Brisbane Roar have odds of 2.60. But the game could go either way. If we factor in match-day factors such as injuries, form, and home advantage it’s anyones game. I wouldn’t be putting a large bet on either team, as the outcome is razor thin. A cautious recommendation would be to tip Sydney FC, as they have a slightly better record and more experience in the league, but only with a small stake. Or hedge your bets with equals both ways.
Disclaimer: Online sports betting is a risky and addictive activity, and should not be seen as a reliable source of income or entertainment. Please gamble responsibly and only with money you can afford to lose.
The NBL24 season is into round 5 and is heating up as two of the top teams clash in Round 5. The Tasmania JackJumpers will host the Melbourne United at the MyState Bank Arena this Friday, October 27, 2023. Both teams have impressive records and star players, but who will come out on top in this thrilling match-up?
TLDR: The United are favoured by the bookies with odds of 1.80, but the JackJumpers have a chance to pull off an upset at home, paying 2.00 with the home court advantage
Full court press
The JackJumpers are the newcomers to the league, but they have already proven themselves as a formidable force. They have won four of their first five games, including a stunning victory over the defending champions Perth Wildcats in Round 1. Led by veteran forward Clint Steindl and import guard Josh Crawford, the JackJumpers play an exciting brand of basketball that combines speed, shooting and defence. They also have a loyal fan base that fills up their home arena with green and gold.
The United are the perennial contenders of the NBL, having won three titles in the last six seasons. They have a balanced and experienced roster that features Australian Boomers Matthew Dellavedova, Chris Goulding and Jock Landale, as well as young talents like Luke Travers and Ariel Hukporti. The United are known for their versatility, depth and professionalism, as well as their ability to adapt to any situation. They have also won three of their first five games, with their only losses coming against the Illawarra Hawks and the Sydney Kings.
Why I think the JackJumpers could win
The Tasmania JackJumpers are the newbies, but they’ve already shown some promising signs in their first four games. They have won two and lost two, but have been competitive in every single match. There’s a balanced roster featuring experienced veterans and young talents with a lot of energy and passion. The JackJumpers could pull off an upset against Melbourne.
- The JackJumpers have a strong home-court advantage. They play at the MyState Bank Arena, which has a capacity of 5,000 fans. The crowd is loud and supportive, and they create a hostile environment for the visiting teams. The JackJumpers have won both of their home games so far, and they will be eager to keep their record intact.
- The JackJumpers have a versatile offence. There’s several players who can score in myriad different ways. You’ve got Josh Adams, Clint Steindl, Sam McDaniel, and Will Magnay who all have good ball movement. They’re averaging 19.8 assists per game, ranking third in the league. They can exploit the weaknesses of the Melbourne United defence, which has allowed 86.8 points per game, which ranks seventh in the league.
- The JackJumpers have a resilient mentality. They have shown that they can bounce back from tough situations and keep fighting until the end. They have overcome double-digit deficits in two of their wins, and they have lost by single digits in their two losses. The Tasmanian’s wont be intimidated by anyone.
The JackJumpers could win this game with a ton of factors in their favour. There’s a home crowd, a diverse offence, and a never give up attitude. If they play their best basketball, they have nothing to lose and everything to gain. It’ll be close but the JackJumpers could win by a narrow margin of 3 points.
Who to watch: Milton Doyle
Position: Guard
Jersey #: 24
Doyle can literally score from anywhere on the court. He’s in fine form, this season averaging 18.8 points per game and leading the JackJumpers in scoring. He’s ranking sixth in the league. He’s shot 40.7 per cent from three-point range, making him a threat from beyond the arc. Doyle is definitely someone to watch for the JackJumpers.
Why I think United could win
Melbourne United is undoubtedly one of the strongest teams in the NBL24. They have a very strong chance of beating the Tasmania JackJumpers in this weekend’s upcoming game. Here’s what I’m thinking
- Diversity in their line-up. They’re featuring a balanced and experienced roster, with players like Chris Goulding, Matthew Dellavedova, Jock Landale and Scotty Hopson.
- Defence, defence, defence. There’s a have solid defence, ranking second in the league in points allowed per game (82.6) and third in defensive rating (98.9).
- Backed up by offence. They have a high calibre offence. They are ranking first in the league in points scored per game (94.4) and second in offensive rating (111.4).
- Passion to win. They have a winning mentality, having won the NBL21 championship and reaching the finals in NBL22 and NBL23.
The Tasmania JackJumpers are a new franchise, and they have shown some promise in their debut season. But they’re still finding their identity and chemistry. In the past they’ve struggled against the top teams in the league. I think United has the edge over them in every aspect of the game, and they will prove it on the court.
Who to watch: Gary Browne
Position: Guard
Jersey #:5
Browne is a versatile playmaker who can score, pass, and defend at an unprecedented level. He was averaging 12.2 points, 6.5 assists, and 1.7 steals per game in the previous NBL23 season. Browne is an attacker and is a key piece of United’s offence. He creates opportunities for himself and his teammates with his speed, vision, and ball-handling skills. He is also a leader on the court, who brings energy and toughness to his team. Browne is definitely someone to watch out for when United take on the JackJumpers
What do the bookies say?
The bookies seem to favour Melbourne United over Tasmania JackJumpers in the upcoming Round 5 NBL24 game. Here is a table comparing the odds from four different bookmakers:
| Bookmaker |
Melbourne United |
Tasmania JackJumpers |
| Bet365 |
1.53 |
2.40 |
| Ladbrokes |
1.50 |
2.50 |
| Betfair |
1.55 |
2.35 |
| Sportsbet |
1.53 |
2.40 |
The average odds for Melbourne United are 1.53, while the average odds for Tasmania JackJumpers are 2.41. The bookies are expecting Melbourne United to win the game.
However, odds are not always accurate and can change depending on various factors, such as injuries, form, motivation and public opinion. Therefore, it is important to do your own research and analysis before placing a bet.
The Bottom Line
Both teams have shown impressive form and resilience in the previous rounds, but that means squat on the day. According to the bookies, Melbourne United is the slight favourite over the JackJumpers have odds of 2.41.
But as we’ve seen this season, anything can happen . If the JackJumpers use their home advantage and the support of their passionate fans they could get up. I’m expecting this game to be a close one, showcasing some of the best of Australian basketball.
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29th October 2023 Update: There’s been a few scratchings and retiring horses, so I’ve updated my favourites accordingly. I wish the retiring horses well. I also updated my trifecta picks.
4th November 2023 Update: I updated my boxed trifecta picks based on the analysis of bookies odds
The Melbourne Cup is not just a horse race. It is a national event that captures the attention of millions of Australians and fans across the globe. This is despite the ongoing mainstream media advocacy of the “nup to the cup” movement. Almost everyone looks forward to the first Tuesday of November, well, except for homeowners awaiting the next RBA cash rate announcement.
For everyone else, “the race that stops a nation” is a mainstay. The race is also one of the richest and most challenging in the world, with the distance of 3,200 metres netting prize money of $8 million. The race attracts the best horses from Australia and overseas, who compete for glory and history in front of a huge crowd at Flemington Racecourse in Melbourne.
Lunar Flare is currently paying $4.50 to win the Melbourne Cup, which is a great value for a horse of her calibre. She has the stats behind her to have what it takes to beat the competition and claim the coveted trophy.
There have been many upsets and surprises in the past, such as when Prince of Penzance won at 100-1 odds in 2015, or when Makybe Diva won three consecutive cups from 2003 to 2005. The race is also affected by factors such as weather, track condition, barrier draw, weight handicap, and luck. The favourite can change right up until the horses get in the barrier, so continue to check back to see if we’ve updated our tips.
The favourite: Soulcombe
After the latest scratchings, Soulcombe is my new favourite to win the 2023 Melbourne Cup. This is according to the latest odds I’ve analysed from the bookies. The four-year-old gelding, trained by Chris Waller, has shown impressive form in his recent races, especially in Melbourne. He has won four of his last five starts, including the Group 1 Turnbull Stakes at Flemington. Here my reasons why Soulcombe is my top pick for the Flemington two-mile classic:
- Soulcombe has won four races in a row, including the prestigious Caulfield Cup last month.
- Soulcombe is trained by the legendary Chris Waller, who has won four Melbourne Cups in his career.
- Soulcombe is ridden by James McDonald, one of the best jockeys in Australia and a previous Melbourne Cup winner.
- Soulcombe has proven stamina and speed, having run the fastest final 600 metres in the Caulfield Cup and having won over 3200 metres before.
- He is regally bred by Frankel out of a Group 1-winning mare, and has been suggested to excel at distances over a mile and a half and beyond.
Soulcombe has all the attributes of the next Melbourne Cup winner: pedigree, performance, preparation and potential. He will be hard to beat on the first Tuesday of November, and many punters will be backing him to claim the coveted trophy. He’s currently paying $9.25 to win at the TAB.
Why I think Vauban could also get up
Vauban is a chestnut gelding from France who has proven himself as an elite racehorse in both flat and hurdle races. He has won seven of his 14 starts, including a Group One triumph at Cheltenham in March 2022. Let’s look a little closer.
- He is trained by Willie Mullins, one of the most successful trainers in the world, who has won four Melbourne Cups with Rekindling, Max Dynamite, Twilight Payment and Sir Lucan.
- He is ridden by Colin Keane, the Irish champion jockey who has a great record in Australia, winning the Cox Plate with Romantic Warrior and the Golden Slipper with Zara Star.
- He has qualified for the Melbourne Cup by winning the Ballyroan Stakes at Naas in August 2023, beating some quality rivals like Gooloogong and Pivotal Trigger.
- He has shown versatility and adaptability, winning on different tracks, distances and surfaces, from 1600m to 3400m, from good to heavy ground, from flat to hurdles.
- He has a favourable weight of 54kg, which gives him a good chance to cope with the gruelling 3200m of the Melbourne Cup.
Vauban is a strong contender for the Melbourne Cup 2023. He has the class, the form, the connections and the conditions to make a big impact in the race that stops a nation.
Why I think Gold Trip could get up
Gold Trip is another stunning French-bred horse that has shown impressive performance in Europe, winning the Prix Niel and finishing fourth in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe.
- Gold Trip is in line for a favourable barrier draw, which gives him a good chance to settle in a comfortable position and avoid traffic.
- Gold Trip is trained by Fabrice Chappet, who has experience in preparing horses for the Melbourne Cup, having sent Dunaden to victory in 2011.
- Gold Trip is ridden by Damien Oliver, one of the most successful jockeys in the history of the Melbourne Cup, with three wins and eight placings.
Gold Trip is currently paying $11 at the bookies, which makes him a value bet for the race. He has the pedigree, the form, the trainer and the jockey to challenge for the Cup. I think he is worth backing for a win or a place.
Francesco Guardi Retired
Francesco Guardi has sadly been retired from the Melbourne Cup. The ex-current favourite to win the 2023 Melbourne Cup, according to the latest odds from the bookies. The five-year-old gelding, trained by Chris Waller and sired by Frankel, has shown impressive form in his recent races, especially in Melbourne. Here my reasons why Francesco Guardi is my top pick for the Flemington two-mile classic:
- He demolished his rivals in the 2022 Moonee Valley Gold Cup, winning by almost four lengths in a dominant display of stamina and speed.
- He ran second in the 2022 Bart Cummings, despite nearly falling at the 1000m mark, and showed remarkable recovery and resilience.
- He has been in work since June 2022, and has had a year to prepare for the Melbourne Cup, with Waller declaring that “all roads lead to the Melbourne Cup” for him.
- He has a top jockey in Damien Oliver, who has won the Cox Plate four times before and knows how to ride the course.
- He is regally bred by Frankel out of a Group 1-winning mare, and has been suggested to excel at distances over a mile and a half and beyond.
Francesco Guardi had all the attributes of the next Melbourne Cup winner: pedigree, performance, preparation and potential. He would have beeb hard to beat, and many punters would have backed him to claim the coveted trophy. He’s was currently paying $9.25 to win at the TAB when I first wrote this article.
Update: Lunar Flare also retired
Sadly, Lunar Flare has also been retired from the race. I’ve kept this information online to pay honour to this great racehorse. Lunar Flare was one of the most promising contenders for the 2023 Melbourne Cup, according to the bookies and the experts. The five-year-old mare had shown impressive form in her recent races, also winning the Listed Lexus Andrew Ramsden back in May. Here’s why I thought Lunar Flare could get up on November 7:
- She has a proven track record at long distances, having won the Sydney Cup over 3200 metres in April.
- She has a favourable barrier draw, which gives her a good chance to avoid traffic and find a clear run.
- She has a strong jockey-trainer combination, with Michael Dee riding her for the third time.
- She has a low weight of 53.5 kilograms, which gives her an advantage over some of the heavier horses in the field.
- She has a lot of stamina and speed, which are essential qualities for a Melbourne Cup winner.
Lunar Flare was paying $4.50 at the time of publishing to win the Melbourne Cup, which is a great value for a horse of her calibre. I believe she could have had what it takes to beat the competition and claim the coveted trophy.
Melbourne Cup Trifecta Tips
Now we’re getting closer to the race and we’ve have a few horses pull out, I’m more confident in backing a trifecta. I put all the odds from Sportsbet, TAB, Neds, Ladbrokes and Bet365 into a spreadsheet and here’s what came out.
- 1st: Vauban
- 2nd: Gold Trip
- 3rd: Without A Fight
This combination offers a good balance of value and probability and covers some of the most likely outcomes. But… it’s the Melbourne Cup, anything can happen. There’s so many other horses that could surprise or disappoint on the day. But, based on the current form and odds, I believe this is a solid Trifecta bet that could pay off handsomely.
What are the bookies saying
It’s getting close to the jump and it’s worth noting that the odds can change significantly in the lead-up to the race, as well as on the day itself. It’s a good idea to compare your odds across the main betting sites. Here’s what my top 3 contenders are paying across the sites.
| Horse |
Bet365 |
Ladbrokes |
Sportsbet |
Neds |
TAB |
Francesco Guardi |
9.00 |
9.50 |
10.00 |
9.00 |
9.00 |
Lunar Flare |
11.00 |
12.00 |
11.00 |
11.00 |
11.00 |
| Vauban |
13.00 |
14.00 |
13.00 |
13.00 |
13.00 |
| Gold Trip |
9.00 |
9.00 |
9.00 |
9.00 |
9.00 |
| Without A Fight |
34.00 |
34.00 |
34.00 |
34.00 |
34.00 |
As you can see, there’s a bit of a difference between the 5 and choosing a site that has the best odds for the horse you want will be key. Without a Fight is an outside chance, but could end up in a big payday.
Pro Tips
For example, if you want to back Vauban to win the Melbourne Cup, you can get an extra $1 per dollar bet by choosing Ladbrokes over the others. Similarly, if you fancy Gold Trip or Without a Fight, you’d be best to find another bookie as the current ones are all equal.
By following the odds and doing your research in the lead up to the race, you can increase your chances of picking a winner and a chance to have a profitable day at the races.
Melbourne Boxed Cup 2023 Trifecta Tips
Picking a boxed trifecta in the Melbourne Cup is like getting a golden goose. It’s extremely rare, but not impossible. Here’s my tips for the boxed trifecta, but keep in mind these aren’t a sure bet. Picking a boxed trifecta is hard!
- Vauban for the win. This French horse has been highly impressive in last few race. He’s won the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe and the Prix du Jockey Club. He features impressively strong stamina and a good turn of foot, which are essential for the Melbourne Cup. He’s also well suited to the Flemington track, which is similar to the Longchamp course where he won the Arc. He is the clear favourite and deserves to be.
- Gold Trip coming in second. Another French horse, Gold Trip is a consistent performer who’s finished in the top three in his last six starts. He was second to Vauban in the Prix du Jockey Club, and third in the Arc. He has a good pedigree, being a son of the legendary Frankel, and a good temperament, being calm and relaxed. He is also well weighted, carrying only 54.5 kg. This has the potential to give him an advantage over some of the heavier horses.
- Without A Fight rounding out in third. This British horse is a dark horse who could surprise many. He has won four of his seven starts, including the Ebor Handicap This race is a good lead-up race for the Melbourne Cup. He has a good stamina, having won over 3200 m, the same distance as the Melbourne Cup. He also has a good jockey, Hugh Bowman, who has won the Melbourne Cup four times. He is a value bet, with generous odds of 7.00.
So there you go, if you’re game go for a trifecta. I will be so let’s hope John Powers has the goods this year!
The Bottom Line
I’m super excited for the 2023 edition of the Melbourne Cup. I always make a day of it by taking a cheeky annual leave day. This year is promising to be a thrilling contest, with many strong contenders vying for the coveted trophy. I’m was really looking forward to seeing Francesco Guardi battle it out with Lunar Flare. Now we’ve got Soulcombe and Vauban fighting for for top place on the podium.
These three horses are the ones to watch, but as the last hundred years have shown, anything can happen on the day in such an unpredictable event.
Disclaimer: If you are planning to place a bet online, please do so responsibly and only with licensed operators. Remember that gambling is a form of entertainment, not a source of income, and that you should never bet more than you can afford to lose.
It feels like the TAB has been around forever. My pop used to trot down every Saturday to put his bets down on the horses he’d agonised over the previous week. That’s why the TAB is one of the most popular and trusted online bookmakers in Australia is the. The old TAB has been around for over 50 years and offering a wide range of betting markets, products and services to Australian customers.
Whether you’re into V8’s, the trots, or a one off Melbourne Cup flutter, TAB will have something for you. Let’s dive into the pros and cons, the features and promotions and how they compare to other bookmakers in the industry. We’ll find out whether TAB is the right choice for your betting needs.
What I like about TAB
Not only do you get the thrill on an in-person experience, TAB offers a user-friendly website and mobile app. The cool this is they do this, as well as offering live streaming and radio services. I like TAB and have fond memories of going there with my pop for his weekly horseracing tips.
- You’ll get competitive odds and promotions.
TAB sometimes has better odds than other bookmakers, especially for horseracing events. There’s also regular promotions, such as bonus bets, cash back, and enhanced odds.
- There’s a loyalty program and rewards.
TAB rewards its customers with TAB Rewards, a loyalty program that allows you to earn points for every bet you place. You can redeem your points for free bets, gift cards, merchandise, and much much more. I wear my TAB hat with pride sometimes.
- Access to a variety of payment methods and customer support.
The good news is that TAB accepts many payment methods. You’ll be able to fund your walled with a credit cards, PayPal, POLi and bank transfer. TAB also has a responsive and helpful customer support team, available via phone, email, and live chat.
TAB is a stalwart in Australia and a great choice for punters. It has a lot of features and benefits that make it stand out from the crowd. Easy to get started with, TAB is definitely worth a try.
What I don’t like about TAB
TAB is one of the oldest and most popular sports betting sites in Australia, but it also has some drawbacks.
- Less competitive odds. Whilst TAB is the biggest in Australia, sometimes I feel like they take advantage of this fact. The odds are sometimes worse than the other sites, which is why it pays to compare odds before you place your bet.
- Higher fees and charges. TAB charges a lot of fees and commissions for using their services, such as deposit fees, withdrawal fees, account fees, and transaction fees.
TAB might have a long history and a large customer base, but they also have a lot of room for improvement. It’s hard not to think they rest on their laurels knowing they’re the biggest
How to fund your TAB Wallet
If you want to place bets on TAB, you’ll need to have a positive balance in your TAB Wallet.
There are several ways to fund your TAB Wallet, depending on your preferences and convenience. Let’s see how to get money in your account.
| Method |
Minimum Deposit |
Maximum Deposit |
Processing Time |
Fees |
| Credit/Debit Card |
$10 |
$5,000 |
Instant |
None |
| PayPal |
$10 |
$5,000 |
Instant |
None |
| POLi |
$10 |
$5,000 |
Instant |
None |
| BPAY |
$10 |
$5,000 |
1-3 business days |
None |
| Cash In-Store |
$1 |
No limit |
Instant |
None |
There’s plenty of options to choose from with the most convenient and fastest way is to use a credit or debit card.
NOTE: Be careful with your credit card as you will probably attract the cash advance rate of interest. This means you’ll be paying interest on the amount you transfer to the TAB. Some credit providers block gambling transactions altogether too.
PayPal or POLi are also instant and have no fees!
If you’re old school and prefer to use cash, you can also use BPAY or cash in-store. The BPAY option allows you to transfer money from your bank account to your TAB Wallet, but it may take a few days to process. Cash in-store lets you deposit cash at any TAB outlet or agency across Australia, but you need to present your TAB card or account number.
How does TAB compare to other platforms?
To answer this question, I did a deep dive and thorough analysis of the main features and benefits of TAB and four of its competitors: Ladbrokes, SportsBet, Bet365 and Neds. I weighed up the sites based on four criteria: odds, variety, features and customer service.
Methodology
- I painstakingly collected data from each platform’s website and app, as well as from independent sources such as Trustpilot.
- I calculated the average odds for different sports and events. I used the major ones in Australia: AFL, NRL, horse racing and soccer.
- I evaluated the variety of sports and markets offered by each platform, as well as the availability of live betting and streaming options.
- I assessed the features and functionality of each platform, such as cash out, bet builder, multi bets and promotions.
- I rated the customer service quality and responsiveness of each platform, based on online reviews and my own experience.
How did everyone fare:
| Platform |
Odds |
Variety |
Features |
Customer Service |
Total |
| TAB |
4.0 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
17.0 |
| Ladbrokes |
3.5 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
15.0 |
| SportsBet |
3.5 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
15.5 |
| Bet365 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
14.5 |
| Neds |
3.0 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
13.0 |
As you can see, TAB is the clear winner in this comparison, scoring the highest in three out of four criteria and tying with Bet365 for the best odds. TAB offers innovative features such as cash out, bet builder and multi bets. TAB also has a reliable and friendly customer service team that can help you with any issues or queries you may have.
You’ll get great value, variety and convenience for your all of sports betting needs.
What sports can you bet on?
Whether you are a fan of local or international sports, you can find something to suit your preferences at TAB.
- Horse racing: TAB has always covered the major thoroughbred and harness racing events as well as overseas races. They’ve been the go-to for the Melbourne Cup, the Cox Plate, the Everest, the Golden Slipper and more. You can also watch the live streaming of some races and get expert tips and form guides.
- AFL: TAB is the one of the official partners of the Australian Football League. You’ll get competitive odds and markets for every match of the season. You’re also able to bet on futures markets such as the premiership winner, the Brownlow Medal, the Coleman Medal and more.
- NRL: TAB is also one of the official partners of the National Rugby League. They offer a variety of options for every game of the season. You’ll get head-to-head, line, margin, first try scorer, total points and more. You can also bet on the premiership winner, the Dally M Medal, the top try scorer and more.
- Soccer: TAB covers all the major soccer leagues and tournaments around the world. Not only can you be on the A-League, you can punt on the English Premier League, the UEFA Champions League, the FIFA World Cup and more. You can bet on the match outcome, who scores a goal, corners, red and yellow cards and more.
- Basketball: TAB gives you access to a range of markets for basketball fans. There’s both local and international competitions such as the NBA, the NBL, the WNBL, the Euroleague and more. You can bet on match outcomes, points totals, rebounds, assists and more.
- Cricket: TAB covers all forms of cricket. You’ll get the 50 over ODI’s (my favourite!), Test matches,T20s and all the way to domestic leagues and international tournaments. Bet on match outcomes, runs, wickets, boundaries, sixes and more.
- Tennis: TAB covers all the major tennis events like the Australian Open, the French Open, Wimbledon, the US Open and more. If this is your thing, go nuts!
- Golf: Not one of my favourite sports to bet on, but if it’s your thing you can bet on the Masters, the US Open, the British Open, the PGA Championship and more at the TAB. You can even go as nuts as hole outcomes.
These are just some of the sports you can bet on with TAB Australia. For a full list of available sports and markets, visit their website or download their app.
What about the Security?
After the Medibank and Optus data leaks, security is king. You want to make sure that your personal and financial information is safe and that the site you are using is trustworthy and reliable. TAB Australia is licensed and regulated in Australia and ensures that it complies with the highest standards of integrity and fairness. TAB Australia also uses advanced encryption technology and firewalls to safeguard your data and transactions.
You can rest assured that your money and identity are safe with TAB Australia. Plus, they have a dedicated customer support team that is available 24/7 to assist you with any queries or issues you may have.
Bottom Line
TAB is one of the most oldest, most popular and trusted sports betting sites in Australia. It offers a wide range of markets, live streaming, promotions, and rewards for loyal customers. TAB also has a strong presence in the racing industry as they have exclusive access to some of the biggest events and venues. Whether you are a casual punter or a serious bettor, TAB has something for you.
However, TAB is not without its drawbacks. Some users have complained about the in-store staff, the website design, and the withdrawal process. TAB also has higher margins than some of its competitors, which means lower odds and payouts.
Disclaimer: As always, we remind you to gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose. Gambling can be addictive and harmful if not controlled. If you or someone you know has a problem with gambling, please seek help from a professional service or call 1800 858 858.
The Cox Plate is one of the most prestigious and exciting horse races in Australia It attracts the best middle distance and staying horses from around the world. The race is held at Moonee Valley Racecourse in Melbourne and forms a big part of the Spring Racing Carnival. It’s run over 2040 metres and features under weight-for-age conditions.
The Cox Plate has the who’s who of big name champions on it’s roll call. This includes Phar Lap, Kingston Town, Sunline, and Winx, who won the race four times in a row. The 2023 edition of the Cox Plate promises to be another thrilling contest. It features some of the top contenders: Romantic Warrior, Gold Trip, Alligator Blood, Victoria Road, and Mr Brightside. Who will win the coveted trophy and the $5 million prize money? We’ll all find out on Saturday 28th October 2023.
TLDR: The Cox Plate is one of the famous horse races in Melbourne (not the Melbourne Cup) with a $5 million prize. Some of the favourites for 2023 are Romantic Warrior, Gold Trip, Alligator Blood, Victoria Road, and Mr Brightside.
Jump to the bookies odds.
The favourite: Romantic Warrior
Romantic Warrior is still one of the top contenders for the Cox Plate. The five-year-old gelding has been in impressive form this season, winning three of his last four starts and finishing second in the other. He might claim the trophy:
- He has a proven record at Moonee Valley, having won the Feehan Stakes over the same distance and track in September.
- He has a strong turn of foot, which is crucial for navigating the tight bends and short straight of the Valley.
- He has a favourable barrier draw, starting from gate four, which will allow him to settle in a good position and avoid traffic.
- He has a top jockey in Damien Oliver, who has won the Cox Plate four times before and knows how to ride the course.
- He has a competitive spirit and a will to win, as shown by his narrow defeat to Anamoe in the Caulfield Guineas, where he fought hard to the line.
Romantic Warrior is sitting at $6.50 at the bookies, which I think is great value for a horse of his calibre and consistency. He has all the attributes to win the Cox Plate and I believe he will do it. I’ll definitely be putting a few dollars on a win, and also a place.
Why I think Gold Trip will get up
Gold Trip is a French import who has already proven himself in Australia by winning the Melbourne Cup last year. He has also shown impressive form this spring, winning the Group 1 Turnbull Stakes in a dominant fashion, beating some of the best horses in the country. He is now one of the favourites for the Cox Plate, and I think he has a great chance of adding another prestigious trophy to his collection. Here are some of the reasons why I think Gold Trip will get up:
- He has a proven record at The Valley, having run third in the Cox Plate last year behind Amelia’s Jewel and Romantic Warrior. He was only beaten by a length and a half, and he has improved since then.
- He has a versatile racing style, being able to settle at the back of the field or near the lead. He can unleash a powerful finishing burst, as he did in the Turnbull Stakes, where he came from last to first in the final 400 metres.
- He has a strong staying ability, having won over 3200 metres in the Melbourne Cup. The Cox Plate is run over 2040 metres, which is well within his range. He can also handle any track conditions, having won on good, soft and heavy ground.
- He has a top jockey in Mark Zahra, who knows him well and has ridden him in all his Australian starts. Zahra is confident in Gold Trip’s ability and said he was “spine tingling” after his Turnbull Stakes win.
- He has a top trainer in Ciaron Maher, who won the Cox Plate last year with Amelia’s Jewel. Maher is one of the best trainers in the country and knows how to prepare his horses for big races. He said Gold Trip’s Turnbull Stakes win was “his best win” and that he was “dynamic and very impressive”.
Gold Trip is a worthy contender for the Cox Plate and has a lot of things sitting in his favour. He’s a classy horse who has shown he can mix it with the best in Australia and overseas. He’s in peak form and ready to peak again on Cox Plate day. He’ll definitely will give the race his best shot and give his connections another memorable run.
Why I think Alligator Blood will get up
Alligator Blood is a champion horse who has won seven Group 1 races, five of them at weight-for-age. He has proven himself over 2000 metres with a dominant win in the Might And Power Stakes. He beat the likes of Vow And Declare and Duais. He is in fine form and ready to take on the Cox Plate challenge.
Here are some reasons why I think Alligator Blood is in with a good chance:
- He has a great record at The Valley, having won the Moonee Valley Vase and finished fifth in the Cox Plate last year.
- He has a brilliant turn of foot that can put his rivals away in the straight.
- He has a tough and resilient temperament that suits the pressure of the Cox Plate.
- He has the best trainer-jockey combination in Gai Waterhouse and Tim Clark. They both know how to win big races.
- He”s overcome a minor setback earlier in the week and passed the vet check with flying colours.
Alligator Blood is a star of Australian racing and deserves to add the Cox Plate to his impressive resume. He is a horse with heart, courage and ability, and I he has a great chance to show them all why he is the best on Saturday.
What are the bookies saying?
The betting spread for the Cox Plate is always competitive and exciting, as punters and bookies try to find the value and pick the winner from a superb field. This year is no different.
It’s important to note the odds can change significantly in the lead-up to the race. This will depend on things like form, injuries, weights, barriers and track conditions.
Let’s look at the spread of odds from the major Australian betting sites. Updated 27th, October 2023
| Horse |
Bet365 |
Ladbrokes |
SportsBet |
Neds |
| Romantic Warrior |
$4.20 |
$4.10 |
$4.30 |
$4.20 |
| Gold Trip |
$5.50 |
$6.00 |
$5.50 |
$5.50 |
| Alligator Blood |
$7.50 |
$7.00 |
$7.50 |
$7.50 |
| Victoria Road |
$9.00 |
$10.00 |
$9.00 |
$9.00 |
| Mr Brightside |
$11.00 |
$12.00 |
$11.00 |
$11.00 |
There’s definitely some variation in the odds offered by different bookmakers, so it pays to shop around and compare the prices before placing your bets. There’s also a good chance to take advantage of the early markets and specials that are available for the Cox Plate.
Horses for a Cox Plate Quinella
If you’re looking to maximise your winnings, a quinella is a fair chance. Here’s my tips for a quinella and I’ll probably drop a bet on race day.
- Romantic Warrior: I’ve got the Hong Kong superstar as my favourite to win the race after
- Alligator Blood: I’ll probably put some money down for a place, but he’s worth putting in your quinella.\
- Gold Trip: This Melbourne Cup winner and two-time Caulfield Cup placegetter is flying, has plenty of international experience and is a sure chance.
- Fangirl: Not in my favourite list but I’m including this Chris Waller-trained mare for good luck. She has a sense of timing and will be stalking the leaders from barrier eight. She has Zac Purton in the saddle, who is one of the best jockeys in the world.
The Bottom Line
The Cox Plate is the ultimate test of the best horses in Australasia. This years event is no exception. There’s a mix of proven champions and emerging stars vying for the $5 million prize.
Of course, anything can happen in horse racing. There’s many other factors to consider, such as barriers, track conditions, pace, luck and tactics. The Cox Plate is a race that often produces surprises and upsets, so don’t be afraid to back your own judgement and have some fun.
Disclaimer: Remember that online betting is a risky activity that can lead to addiction and financial problems. Always gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose. If you need help or support, contact Gambling Help Online on 1800 858 858 or visit https://www.gamblinghelponline.org.au/.
The NBL season continues with two team of stark contrasting fortunes face off in a thrilling clash this weekend. The Sydney Kings are hoping to keep their winning streak alive and leapfrog their way to the top of the ladder, while the Tasmania JackJumpers are hoping to bounce back from a disappointing start and prove their critics wrong. Here’s what you need to know according to the bookmakers.
TLDR: The Kings are the favourites to win, but the JackJumpers have some tricks up their sleeves that could surprise them.
Why I think the Aussies will get up
Both teams have had a mixed start to the season, but the Kings have the edge in terms of experience and talent. Here’s some of my unsolicited tips on why I think the Aussies will get up and beat the newcomers from Tasmania.
- The Kings have a balanced roster with veterans like Jarell Martin, Xavier Cooks and Jaylin Adams, as well as young guns like Angus Glover, Dejan Vasiljevic and Makur Maker. They can play fast or slow, inside or outside, and match up well with any opponent.
- The JackJumpers are still trying to find their identity as a new franchise. They have a few exciting players like Josh Adams, Clint Steindl and Sam McDaniel, but there’s also small lack depth and consistency. They have struggled to close out games and defend the three-point line.
- The Kings have the home court advantage at Qudos Bank Arena, where they have won four of their last five games. They have a loyal fan base that will cheer them on and create a hostile environment for the visitors. The JackJumpers have only won one of their four road games so far.
- The Kings have a history of success in the NBL, having won three championships and made the finals 16 times. They have a winning culture and a strong coaching staff led by Chase Buford. The JackJumpers are still building their reputation and learning how to win at this level.
Who to watch: Jarell Martin
Position: Power Forward
Jersey #: 9
The American import has been a dominant force for the Kings this season, averaging 21.8 points and 8.2 rebounds per game. He has a versatile skill set that allows him to score inside and outside, as well as defend multiple positions. He was instrumental in the Kings’ win over the JackJumpers in their last meeting, scoring 26 points and grabbing 11 boards. Expect him to continue his impressive form and lead the Kings to another victory.
I have a strong feeling the Sydney Kings will prevail over the JackJumpers in a close but entertaining game. The Kings have way more quality, experience and confidence than the JackJumpers, who are still adjusting to the league. The Kings will win by 10 points or more and cement their place in the top four.
Why I think the JackJumpers will get up
It’s retribution time for the JackJumpers. The bookies have the Kings as favourites to win, but I really hope the JackJumpers will win and upset the favouries.
- The JackJumpers are hungry for success. They are a new team in the league and they want to prove themselves. They have a lot of motivation and energy to play hard and win.
- The JackJumpers have a balanced roster. They have a mix of experienced veterans and young talents. They have players who can score, rebound, defend, and create. They have depth and versatility in every position.
- The JackJumpers have a home-court advantage. They will play in front of their passionate fans at the MyState Bank Arena. They will feed off the crowd’s energy and support. They will also be more familiar with the court and the conditions.
Who to watch: Josh Adams
Position: Guard
Jersey #: 14
The American import has been a revelation for the JackJumpers in their debut season in the NBL. He leads the team in scoring with 19.8 points per game, and he can light it up from beyond the arc. He has made 40 three-pointers in 12 games, shooting at an impressive 43.5% clip. He also contributes with 4.3 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game, making him a versatile threat on the court. He will be a key factor in the JackJumpers’ chances of upsetting the Sydney Kings on their home turf..
The JackJumpers might get up and beat the Kings. It won’t be easy, but it could be possible. The JackJumpers have nothing to lose and everything to gain. They will play with heart and determination. They might pull off the unthinkable… who knows!
What do the bookies say?
The bookies are favouring the Sydney Kings to win the game against the Tasmania JackJumpers this Sunday, according to the latest odds from various betting sites. Here are some of the odds for the match:
- Bet365: Sydney Kings 1.25, Tasmania JackJumpers 4.00
- Ladbrokes: Sydney Kings 1.28, Tasmania JackJumpers 3.75
- Betfair: Sydney Kings 1.26, Tasmania JackJumpers 4.10
- Sportsbet: Sydney Kings 1.27, Tasmania JackJumpers 3.80
The odds reflect the recent performance of both teams, as well as their head-to-head record. The Sydney Kings have won four of their last five games, while the Tasmania JackJumpers have lost three of their last five. The Kings also have a 2-1 advantage over the JackJumpers in their previous meetings this season, including a 95-78 victory in the Grand Final on May 6.
The Bottom Line
Both teams are looking to improve their standings in the league. The Kings are currently second on the ladder, with a 3-1 record, while the JackJumpers are third, with a 3-2 record. The bookies have the Kings as the clear favourite, with average odds of 1.50, while the JackJumpers are well behind.
However, the game could be closer than expected, as the JackJumpers have shown some explosiveness season. The Kings will rely on their star players, such as Jarell Martin, Jaylin Adams and Xavier Cooks, to lead them to victory, while the JackJumpers will hope that their balanced attack, featuring Josh Adams, Clint Steindl and Will Magnay, can cause some problems for the Kings’ defence. It’s going to be a high-scoring affair, with both teams averaging over 80 points per game.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute any form of betting advice. Betting on sports involves risk and you should only bet with money you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly and seek help if you have a problem.
The A-League is back with a bang as Sydney FC and Melbourne Victory clash in the first round of the new season. The two rivals have a long history of fierce battles and thrilling encounters, and this match promises to be no different. Who will come out on top in this blockbuster showdown? Let’s take a look at what the bookies have to say.
TLDR: Sydney FC are the favourites to win, but Melbourne Victory have a chance to cause an upset.
Why I think Sydney will get up
The big A-League clash this Saturday, November 4th, is promising to be a thrilling encounter. Both teams have been in good form lately, but Sydney could have the edge over their rivals for several reasons. Here’s what I think:
- Sydney has a stronger defence, conceding only 10 goals in 11 games, while Melbourne has let in 16.
- Sydney has a more balanced attack, with 10 different players scoring this season, while Melbourne relies heavily on Berisha and Troisi.
- Sydney has a better short term head-to-head record, winning four of the last five meetings between the two sides, including a 6-1 thrashing in April.
- Sydney has more motivation, as they are chasing their third consecutive premiership, while Melbourne is already out of the race.
Who to watch: Adam La Fondre
Position: Forward
Jersey #: 10
The renowned English striker is back in Sky Blue after a brief loan out in India. He’ll be eager to resume his top-notch scoring record in the A-League this season. He netted 39 goals in 57 appearances for Sydney FC in his previous spell, and he has quite a knack for finding the net against Melbourne Victory. Watch out for his clinical finishing and clever movement in the box.
I think Sydney has a great chance to get up over Melbourne in this game. There’s more quality, consistency and hunger than Melbourne. It’s going to be a very close exciting match, but I’m hoping Sydney will prevail by a narrow margin.
Why I think Melbourne will get up
There’s always going to be the rivalry between Sydney and Melbourne and the argument always comes back to coffee and cafes. But where it really matters is on the pitch. Melbourne Victory are in with a chance on Saturday and could potentially come out on top.
- Melbourne Victory have a better overall head-to-head record against Sydney FC. They’ve won 17 out of 49 games, while Sydney FC have won 15 and drawn 17.
- Melbourne Victory have a more balanced squad. They got experience in players like Robbie Kruse, Marco Rojas and Leigh Broxham. They’ve also got young talent like Jake Brimmer, Ben Folami and Elvis Kamsoba.
- Melbourne Victory have a more attacking style of play. They’ve scored 14 goals in their last five games, while Sydney FC have scored only nine goals in the same period.
- Melbourne Victory have a more motivated coach in Tony Popovic. He’s looking to prove himself after his unsuccessful stint in Turkey, while Sydney FC’s coach Steve Corica is under pressure to deliver results after a disappointing start to the season.
Who to watch: Marco Rojas
Position: Winger
Jersey #: 14
The Kiwi international is hands down one of the most exciting players in the A-League. He has pace, dribbling skills and unrivalled creativity. He create schances out of nothing and scores spectacular goals with either foot. He’s been a clutch player for Melbourne Victory since returning to the club in 2020, and he’ll be looking to make an impact in the season opener against their fierce rivals.
Melbourne Victory are in with a good shot to get up this Saturday. They have the quality, the form and the hunger to do so. It will be a close and exciting game. Melbourne will come close in the end but there might be a point or two in it.
What do the bookies say?
After a dismal year in 2022, the bookies have basically written off Melbourne Victory from the start.
- bet365 have Sydney FC as the favourite to win the game at odds of 2.00. They’ve got Melbourne Victory at 3.40 and a draw has odds of 3.60.
- Sportsbet also gives Sydney FC the edge, with odds of 2.00, while Melbourne Victory has odds of 3.30 and a draw has odds of 3.50.
- Ladbrokes has similar odds, with Sydney FC at 2.00, Melbourne Victory at 3.30 and a draw at 3.50.
- Betfair has slightly different odds, with Sydney FC at 2.06, Melbourne Victory at 3.55 and a draw at 3.65.
I think the bookies are underestimating Melbourne Victory’s potential and I’m going to stick a $50 on them to draw at $1.83. I might consider going for Under 2.5 Goals at $2.10, as I expect a tight and tense affair.
Bottom Line
It’s clear that Sydney FC has a slight edge over Melbourne Victory if you look at the raw odds. This doesn’t mean that the outcome is set in stone, as both teams have shown unpredictability and resilience in previous games.
The game could go either way, depending on what happens with injuries, substitutions, weather, and referee decisions.
If you do place a bet on this game do so with caution and responsibility, as gambling can be addictive and harmful. This article is not intended to encourage or endorse gambling, but only to provide information and analysis based on the bookies’ predictions.
The NBL season is heating up as two of the fan favourite teams, the Adelaide 36ers and Perth Wildcats face off in a crucial game this Friday night. Both teams have a chance to secure a playoff spot with a win, but they’ll have to deal with the pressure of the expectations from their fans. But there’s also pressure from the bookies, and that’s what we really care about.
Who’s going to come out on top in this exciting clash? Let’s look in depth at the strengths and weaknesses of both these teams, their most recent performances and at some of the odds offered by some of Australia’s best betting sites.
TLDR: It’s a close call, but Perth Wildcats have a slight edge over Adelaide 36ers based on their experience, defence, even with the 35ers home court advantage.
Why I think Adelaide will get up?
It’s a crucial game of the NBL this Friday night. Both teams are fighting for a spot in the top four, but the 36ers have the edge in several aspects. Here’s my brain dump of why I think Adelaide will get up and beat Perth:
- Adelaide has the home court advantage. The 36ers have won six of their last seven games at the Adelaide Entertainment Centre, while the Wildcats have lost four of their last five away games.
- Adelaide has a balanced and formidable offence. The 36ers have five players averaging double figures in scoring, led by Daniel Johnson with 20.1 points per game. They also rank second in the league in assists, with 18.9 per game.
- Adelaide has upped their defence. The 36ers have held their opponents to 82.4 points per game in their last five wins, compared to 90.8 points per game in their last five losses. There’s also an increase in their steals and blocks, forcing more turnovers and disrupting Perth’s rhythm.
Adelaide have the momentum, the depth and the determination to overcome the Wildcats and secure a vital win.
Why I think Perth will get up?
The Perth Wildcats have a strong record against the Adelaide 36ers. They have won 10 of their last 12 games against them, including a stunning 111-90 victory in their last encounter. The Wildcats are also in great form, having won six of their last seven games. Here my brain dump on why I think Perth will get up in this game:
- Perth’s lineup. Perth has a balanced and deep roster, with five players averaging double-digit points. Bryce Cotton is the league’s leading scorer with 23.4 points per game, and John Mooney is a double-double machine with 17.6 points and 11.4 rebounds per game. They also have reliable veterans like Jesse Wagstaff and Mitch Norton, and exciting young talents like Luke Travers and Todd Blanchfield.
- Perth’s ferocity. Perth plays with a high intensity and defensive mindset, which makes them hard to beat. They lead the league in steals (8.9 per game) and blocks (4.1 per game), and rank second in points allowed (81.9 per game). They also force their opponents to commit the most turnovers (15.5 per game) and shoot the lowest percentage from the field (42.6%).
- Perth is playing away this week, which is a huge motivating factor in the NBL. They have a loyal and passionate fan base but without them this could hinder their performance. The Wildcats will feed off the energy of the crowd and play with more confidence and swagger away.
Perth have a great chance to get up in this game because they have a superior team and a defensive edge. They are the favourites to win the title again, and I don’t see Adelaide stopping them in this match.
What do the bookies say?
This game is expected to be a close contest, with both teams having strong rosters and even stronger ambitions. Let’s look at what the bookies are saying
Here are some of the odds from different bookmakers as of 18 October 2023:
- Bet365 is listing the Perth Wildcats as favourites to win the game, with odds of 1.50
- Sportsbet also gives Perth Wildcats an edge, with odds of 1.15 for a match betting, compared to 5.50 for Adelaide 36ers.
- Bets.com.au is tipping the Perth Wildcats to win at 1.35 odds. They’re citing the superior shooting and defence over Adelaide 36ers.
- Bet Experts predicts a close game, with Perth Wildcats winning by a margin of 3 points, and offers odds of 1.87 for a Perth Wildcats victory.
- Sports Gambler has provided a detailed analysis of the game (thankfully). They’re suggesting a bet builder with Perth Wildcats -9.5 Handicap Line at 11/12 and Perth Over 96.5 Team Total at 17/20.
These odds are suggesting a dominating game from the Perth Wildcats, but all will be shown on the court.
The bottom line
The Adelaide 36ers and the Perth Wildcats have one of the most thrilling NBL games this weekend. Both teams have been in great form lately, with the bookies having the Wildcats as the clear favourites, with odds of 1.50 to win. There’s the 36ers paying 2.60.
However, the game could be closer than expected, with the 36ers having a strong home-court advantage and a balanced attack led by star guard Josh Giddey. The Wildcats will rely on their defensive intensity and veteran leadership from Bryce Cotton and John Mooney.
If we look at the current form and odds, I’m sticking a bet on the Wildcats to win, but not by more than 10 points. The 36ers have shown enough resilience and firepower to keep the game competitive, and they could even pull off an upset if they catch the Wildcats off guard. A margin bet of Wildcats 1-10 at 2.80 could be a good value option.
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